Avaí vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 0
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
JEC
1 - 0
AVA
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
AVA
1 - 2
CAX
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
2 - 0
AVA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
DBO
1 - 3
AVA
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 2
GRE
34%
26%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
GRE
4 - 0
SCI
36%
29%
35%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
JEC
1 - 1
GRE
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
GRE
4 - 0
COT
50%
28%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |