Avaí vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
AVA
0 - 0
CEA
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 0
AVA
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
3 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
0 - 1
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
ANA
3 - 2
AVA
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
CAX
4 - 1
JEC
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 2
CEA
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
AME
2 - 2
CAX
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAX
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
CAX
3 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |