Avaí vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
ATL
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 0
AVA
72%
18%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
ATM
13%
23%
64%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
ATP
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
AVA
45%
29%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
PAL
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 1
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
AMF
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 3
BOT
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |