Avaí vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
AVA
6 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 1
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
JEC
1 - 0
AVA
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CRI
2 - 3
AVA
31%
24%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 0
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 1
CRZ
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 0
ATM
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRZ
5 - 0
ATM
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 0
GUA
82%
13%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |