Auxerre vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LIL
3 - 2
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 1
ASN
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 2
AUX
32%
27%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 0
AUX
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 1
SOC
38%
27%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LMU
1 - 2
TFC
51%
27%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
TFC
0 - 0
REN
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ASN
0 - 0
TFC
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 1
LHA
45%
27%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |