Ligue 1 Round 38

Auxerre vs Toulouse analysis

Auxerre Toulouse
84 ELO 75
-7.7% Tilt -6.4%
149º General ELO ranking 81º
13º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
64.2%
Auxerre
22.7%
Draw
13.2%
Toulouse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
Auxerre
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.1%
Win probability
Toulouse
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auxerre
+6%
+2%
Toulouse

ELO progression

Auxerre
Toulouse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 1991
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
74%
16%
10%
84 88 4 0
10 May. 1991
AUX
Auxerre
0 - 0
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
58%
25%
17%
84 82 2 0
04 May. 1991
NAN
Nantes
2 - 3
Auxerre
AUX
34%
31%
36%
84 80 4 0
20 Apr. 1991
AUX
Auxerre
3 - 1
Metz
MET
60%
24%
16%
83 78 5 +1
18 Apr. 1991
SOC
Sochaux
1 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
40%
30%
30%
84 80 4 -1

Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 1991
TFC
Toulouse
0 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
43%
29%
28%
76 79 3 0
10 May. 1991
SPO
Sporting Toulon Var
1 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
45%
29%
26%
76 76 0 0
04 May. 1991
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 0
Stade Rennais
REN
65%
23%
13%
76 67 9 0
20 Apr. 1991
PSG
PSG
3 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
55%
25%
20%
76 78 2 0
13 Apr. 1991
TFC
Toulouse
0 - 0
Stade Brestois
BRE
44%
27%
28%
77 78 1 -1