Auxerre vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 3
AUX
34%
29%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
DZG
1 - 2
AUX
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
AUX
2 - 1
MON
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 0
AUX
32%
29%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
AUX
5 - 1
BEO
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
LUS
0 - 2
STR
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2006 |
STR
2 - 0
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
TOU
0 - 0
STR
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 4
STR
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
STR
2 - 0
GUI
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |