Austria Wien vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
4º
27
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 5
AUS
4%
11%
85%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SKA
3 - 3
AUS
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FEN
4 - 1
AUS
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 2
AUS
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 2
FEN
32%
25%
44%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
WIE
2 - 0
SCA
8%
15%
77%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 6
RBS
23%
23%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 2
SCA
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SCA
4 - 1
HAR
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
1 - 1
SCA
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |