Australia U23s vs Rumanía Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
AUS
1 - 2
IRL
33%
23%
44%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
CHN
1 - 5
AUS
42%
23%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
AUS
1 - 1
NZE
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
AUS
1 - 1
NZE
48%
23%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
AUS
10%
17%
73%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Rumanía Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MEX
1 - 0
ROU
61%
20%
19%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |