Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austin FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AUS
3 - 3
SJE
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
KCW
0 - 2
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
AUS
3 - 4
RBN
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
DAL
1 - 1
AUS
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
AUS
3 - 1
HOD
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
KCW
4 - 2
GAL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
KCW
0 - 2
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
KCW
11%
19%
71%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
KCW
0 - 2
LAN
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
RSL
3 - 0
KCW
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |