Aurrera KE vs Sestao River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
CDU
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 1
AUR
23%
26%
51%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 0
EIB
43%
27%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
UPV
0 - 2
AUR
33%
28%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 3
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
SES
3 - 0
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
CDU
1 - 0
SES
33%
29%
39%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SES
1 - 1
AUR
73%
20%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
EIB
0 - 1
SES
47%
28%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SES
2 - 0
UPV
63%
23%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |