Aurrera KE vs Real Unión B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 1
AFT
30%
27%
42%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
RSO
1 - 2
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ORD
1 - 0
AUR
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
HER
19%
24%
58%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PAS
5 - 0
AUR
75%
17%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ORD
0 - 2
REA
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2010 |
REA
2 - 1
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
PAS
0 - 2
REA
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
REA
2 - 0
IDI
74%
17%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATX
0 - 2
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |