Aurora FC vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
MIX
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
AUR
59%
25%
17%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
DEP
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
UNI
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |