Aurillac Arpajon vs Moulins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAL
4 - 2
AUR
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 2
LDU
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AIN
2 - 2
AUR
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CLE
2 - 2
AUR
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LPV
4 - 2
AUR
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
1 - 4
CLE
37%
25%
39%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LIM
4 - 0
MOU
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
0 - 3
VAU
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MOU
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
THO
0 - 0
MOU
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |