Auerbach vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 0
AUE
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BAB
3 - 0
AUE
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AUE
1 - 1
GER
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AUE
0 - 2
CHL
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIK
3 - 2
AUE
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LIC
1 - 1
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
3 - 0
LIC
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LIC
3 - 2
LOK
22%
24%
55%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
LIC
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LIC
3 - 0
BAB
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |