Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
AUD
1 - 1
NAR
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
AUD
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
AUD
4 - 0
BIS
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FBC
0 - 1
AUD
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AUD
0 - 1
ASD
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Giugliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GLA
0 - 2
SSC
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SSC
2 - 0
MUR
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
SSC
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SSC
4 - 0
ARZ
38%
23%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TNF
0 - 3
SSC
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |