Audace Cerignola vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
AUD
2 - 3
ASD
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
RAA
1 - 2
AUD
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AUD
3 - 2
TUR
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
RPO
3 - 0
AUD
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AUD
2 - 0
CAV
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 3
RPO
17%
24%
59%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAR
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
SSM
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TUR
3 - 3
SAR
61%
21%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |