FK Auda vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
8º
4º
26
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 75 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 66 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 65 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 54 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 51 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 44 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 42 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 34 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 22 |
10º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 10% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
16.5% | 73.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 3
AUD
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKT
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
AUD
22%
28%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
CAR
18%
25%
57%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |