Auckland City vs Eastern Suburbs AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 2
AUC
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
EAS
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
LAU
91%
7%
2%
|
69 | 32 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAD
94%
5%
1%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VEN
0 - 7
AUC
2%
7%
91%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 2
CAN
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
EAS
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 1
WAI
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
EAS
3 - 0
TAS
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 7
EAS
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |