New Zealand National League Norte. Jor. 16

Auckland City vs Auckland United analysis

Auckland City Auckland United
55 ELO 41
28.6% Tilt 17.3%
3869º General ELO ranking 7438º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
76.6%
Auckland City
14.6%
Draw
8.8%
Auckland United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
Auckland City
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.8%
Win probability
Auckland United
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auckland City
-1%
-11%
Auckland United

Points and table prediction

Auckland City
Their league position
Auckland United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
39
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auckland City
54
60
100%
Eastern Suburbs AFC
49
56
100%
Auckland United
39
43
100%
Manurewa
36
36
100%
Western Springs
29
33
100%
Hamilton Wanderers
26
30
100%
West Coast Rangers
23
26
100%
Birkenhead United
25
25
100%
Melville United
22
23
100%
Bay Olympic
10º
12
15
10º
0%
Takapuna
11º
12
15
11º
0%
Manukau United
12º
10
12
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Auckland City
Auckland United
Final Series
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Auckland City
Auckland United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auckland City
Auckland City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2023
WES
Western Springs
3 - 2
Auckland City
AUC
7%
12%
82%
56 32 24 0
01 Jul. 2023
WCR
West Coast Rangers
0 - 3
Auckland City
AUC
7%
14%
79%
56 18 38 0
28 Jun. 2023
AUC
Auckland City
7 - 0
Manurewa
MAN
91%
7%
2%
57 20 37 -1
24 Jun. 2023
BIR
Birkenhead United
0 - 2
Auckland City
AUC
18%
21%
61%
56 42 14 +1
17 Jun. 2023
AUC
Auckland City
9 - 0
Bucklands Beach
BBA
88%
9%
4%
57 11 46 -1

Matches

Auckland United
Auckland United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2023
AFC
Auckland United
3 - 0
Manukau United
MUF
88%
8%
4%
42 18 24 0
24 Jun. 2023
MAN
Manurewa
0 - 2
Auckland United
AFC
11%
16%
73%
42 21 21 0
10 Jun. 2023
AFC
Auckland United
4 - 0
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
61%
20%
19%
42 34 8 0
05 Jun. 2023
AFC
Auckland United
0 - 2
Auckland City
AUC
12%
14%
74%
42 57 15 0
03 Jun. 2023
TAK
Takapuna
3 - 4
Auckland United
AFC
13%
17%
70%
42 21 21 0
X