Aucas vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
1 - 2
AUC
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 2
AUC
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 1
LIG
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EME
1 - 0
CFC
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 3
EME
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 3
EME
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
EME
2 - 1
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |