Aubel vs Hombourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
3 - 3
RAU
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
XHO
2 - 1
RAU
49%
22%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RAU
5 - 1
BAN
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BEA
7 - 1
RAU
75%
14%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RAU
4 - 0
WEY
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Hombourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HOM
0 - 3
XHO
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
HOM
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 1
BEA
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
WEY
0 - 0
HOM
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 0
MIM
40%
23%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |