At. Venezuela vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 0
ATL
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
TRU
3 - 3
ATL
52%
27%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
MIR
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
48%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
MIR
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
62%
24%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ANZ
19%
27%
54%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TUC
2 - 0
POR
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
55%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |