Atl San José Promesas vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl San José Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
PUE
5 - 0
ASJ
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 1
VAL
38%
26%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EXT
4 - 1
ASJ
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ASJ
8 - 0
MIA
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AZU
3 - 1
ASJ
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
JER
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SNV
0 - 2
MAD
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
CDZ
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
UPL
1 - 0
MAD
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 0
UPL
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |