Tercera RFEF XIV - Extremadura. Jor. 5

Pueblonuevo vs Jerez analysis

Pueblonuevo Jerez
18 ELO 23
-13.4% Tilt -17.9%
10123º General ELO ranking 10228º
513º Country ELO ranking 529º
ELO win probability
18.9%
Pueblonuevo
22.7%
Draw
58.4%
Jerez

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
Pueblonuevo
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.4%
Win probability
Jerez
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pueblonuevo
+26%
-7%
Jerez

Points and table prediction

Pueblonuevo
Their league position
Jerez
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
15º
11º
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AD Llerenense
64
64
100%
CD Azuaga
62
62
100%
Moralo
54
55
72%
Olivenza
53
54
72%
Jerez
48
51
100%
Arroyo
46
46
100%
Trujillo
44
44
72%
Villafranca
42
43
72%
Calamonte
39
40
81.5%
UD Fuente de Cantos
10º
38
38
10º
81.5%
Pueblonuevo
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Montehermoso
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Miajadas
13º
26
27
13º
100%
CD Don Álvaro
15º
24
25
14º
100%
Plasencia
14º
24
24
15º
100%
UC La Estrella
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pueblonuevo
Jerez
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Pueblonuevo
Jerez
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pueblonuevo
Pueblonuevo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2022
UDF
UD Fuente de Cantos
2 - 1
Pueblonuevo
PUE
55%
23%
22%
17 18 1 0
24 Sep. 2022
PUE
Pueblonuevo
1 - 1
Miajadas
MIA
43%
25%
31%
17 18 1 0
17 Sep. 2022
MOR
Moralo
0 - 2
Pueblonuevo
PUE
76%
17%
8%
15 30 15 +2
11 Sep. 2022
PUE
Pueblonuevo
0 - 3
Arroyo
ARR
29%
27%
45%
16 22 6 -1
23 Apr. 2022
PUE
Pueblonuevo
2 - 2
Campanario
CAM
46%
25%
30%
16 15 1 0

Matches

Jerez
Jerez
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2022
JER
Jerez
0 - 0
Montehermoso
MON
71%
19%
10%
25 15 10 0
25 Sep. 2022
VIL
Villafranca
1 - 4
Jerez
JER
28%
25%
46%
24 19 5 +1
18 Sep. 2022
JER
Jerez
3 - 2
Calamonte
CAL
54%
24%
22%
24 20 4 0
11 Sep. 2022
PLA
Plasencia
0 - 3
Jerez
JER
23%
24%
53%
23 16 7 +1
01 May. 2022
ADL
AD Llerenense
1 - 1
Jerez
JER
46%
25%
29%
23 23 0 0
X