Athletico Paranaense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
ATP
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATP
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAO
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
PPE
2 - 1
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 2
COT
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRZ
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLU
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 2
FLU
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |