Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 2
GRE
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 3
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BAH
6 - 2
ATP
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATP
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
COT
0 - 0
ATP
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
FLA
28%
27%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 3
FLA
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 1
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
ATM
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |