Athletico Paranaense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 3
ATP
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ATP
2 - 1
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 4
ATP
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATP
3 - 1
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATP
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
SCI
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATM
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 1
COT
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |