At. Nacional vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
HUI
0 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MIL
1 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIL
36%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
MIL
0 - 1
CAL
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
QUI
1 - 0
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
PAS
2 - 1
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |