At. Nacional vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 2
NAC
33%
29%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TOL
4 - 0
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 1
RIO
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
RIO
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
IND
2 - 2
SFE
32%
29%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
HUI
3 - 2
IND
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
CUC
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 1
IND
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |