At. Nacional vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
AGU
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SFE
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
HUI
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
EQU
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ALI
4 - 2
REA
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 1
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 3
SFE
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
ALI
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |