Mitre de Salta vs Herminio Arrieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitre de Salta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AHZ
1 - 0
MIT
77%
16%
8%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MIT
3 - 0
RIO
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TAB
0 - 2
MIT
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 2
MIT
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MIT
1 - 1
CAM
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Herminio Arrieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
HER
3 - 2
AHZ
15%
23%
63%
|
24 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
HER
69%
17%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
TAB
27%
23%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
HER
3 - 2
TIR
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +2 |