Atl. Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
ATM
51%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
FLU
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAH
3 - 0
ATM
48%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 1
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 1
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
VAS
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |