Atl. Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ATM
1 - 0
COT
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
FLU
0 - 2
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
PAY
0 - 2
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ATM
1 - 2
GOI
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATM
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
VAS
4 - 0
PAY
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
FFL
5 - 1
VAS
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 0
FLU
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 2
VAS
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |