Copa Libertadores Group A Round 4

Atl. Mineiro vs Santa Fe analysis

Atl. Mineiro Santa Fe
86 ELO 81
3.8% Tilt -11.8%
135º General ELO ranking 583º
11º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
61.2%
Atl. Mineiro
21.8%
Draw
17%
Santa Fe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
Atl. Mineiro
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Win probability
Santa Fe
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atl. Mineiro
-3%
+8%
Santa Fe

ELO progression

Atl. Mineiro
Santa Fe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Mineiro
Atl. Mineiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2015
BOA
Boa EC
2 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
15%
25%
61%
86 61 25 0
29 Mar. 2015
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 0
Villa Nova
VIL
88%
10%
2%
86 49 37 0
22 Mar. 2015
TOM
Tombense
0 - 3
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
10%
20%
70%
86 54 32 0
19 Mar. 2015
SFE
Santa Fe
0 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
33%
28%
39%
86 81 5 0
15 Mar. 2015
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
4 - 0
URT
URT
86%
11%
3%
86 47 39 0

Matches

Santa Fe
Santa Fe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2015
SFE
Santa Fe
4 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
66%
22%
12%
82 68 14 0
01 Apr. 2015
SFE
Santa Fe
1 - 0
Deportes Tolima
TOL
46%
27%
27%
82 82 0 0
28 Mar. 2015
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
0 - 0
Santa Fe
SFE
25%
28%
48%
82 73 9 0
25 Mar. 2015
SFE
Santa Fe
3 - 1
Independiente Medellín
IND
52%
25%
23%
82 78 4 0
22 Mar. 2015
SFE
Santa Fe
4 - 1
Uniautónoma
UNI
68%
20%
11%
82 64 18 0