Série A Serie A. Jor. 21

Atl. Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense analysis

Atl. Mineiro Athletico Paranaense
84 ELO 78
10.5% Tilt -0.4%
66º General ELO ranking 59º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
66.8%
Atl. Mineiro
19.8%
Draw
13.4%
Athletico Paranaense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
Atl. Mineiro
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.4%
Win probability
Athletico Paranaense
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atl. Mineiro
+3%
+2%
Athletico Paranaense

ELO progression

Atl. Mineiro
Athletico Paranaense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Mineiro
Atl. Mineiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2016
SAN
Santos FC
3 - 0
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
53%
24%
23%
84 86 2 0
09 Aug. 2016
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
67%
20%
14%
84 77 7 0
05 Aug. 2016
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
34%
27%
39%
84 79 5 0
31 Jul. 2016
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
75%
17%
9%
84 73 11 0
24 Jul. 2016
PAL
Palmeiras
0 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
47%
25%
28%
84 83 1 0

Matches

Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
33%
27%
41%
79 82 3 0
06 Aug. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
52%
25%
23%
79 80 1 0
04 Aug. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
2 - 0
Corinthians
COR
24%
28%
48%
79 88 9 0
30 Jul. 2016
SPO
Sport Recife
2 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
43%
27%
30%
79 75 4 0
28 Jul. 2016
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
44%
27%
29%
79 77 2 0
X