Atl. Mineiro vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 2
ATM
53%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
ATM
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
BAH
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 0
ATM
21%
25%
53%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 2
BOT
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
BOT
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
SAO
28%
26%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |