At. Menciano vs Santaella 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+421%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Menciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PED
7 - 2
MEN
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MEN
6 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
MEN
18%
19%
64%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 6
MEN
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MEN
2 - 0
SAN
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santaella 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
CER
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 2
SAN
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
VIC
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
PRI
45%
22%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MEN
2 - 0
SAN
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |