Mancha Real vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
27.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ALH
3 - 1
MAN
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MAN
3 - 1
CAR
42%
30%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 1
MAN
48%
27%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 1
TOR
22%
29%
49%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
RUS
2 - 3
MAN
25%
26%
50%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRA
30%
29%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
FUE
1 - 0
GUA
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 0
BAZ
23%
27%
50%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
UBE
1 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |