Atlético vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1946 |
SEV
6 - 3
ATM
64%
18%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
ATM
1 - 0
SEV
62%
19%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
ATM
7 - 1
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
SPO
3 - 4
ATM
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
ATM
4 - 2
RSO
77%
13%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
ATM
7 - 1
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
SPO
3 - 4
ATM
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
RAC
2 - 0
SPO
50%
21%
29%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
SPO
8 - 1
RAC
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
OVI
2 - 2
SPO
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |