Atlético vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
74.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
36%
26%
39%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
0 - 0
LOK
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 0
FCB
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAD
73%
19%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
LOK
1 - 1
ATM
20%
26%
55%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
STU
1 - 3
BYM
3%
7%
90%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BYM
3 - 1
RBS
79%
13%
8%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BYM
1 - 1
BRE
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BVB
2 - 3
BYM
11%
15%
75%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
RBS
2 - 6
BYM
14%
17%
69%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |