Copa del Rey . Semi-finals
Global 0-4
Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
RAY
76%
16%
8%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
VCF
67%
19%
13%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 0
SEV
70%
18%
12%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 1
ATM
13%
21%
65%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 0
MLL
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAD
0 - 0
ATH
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 2
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATH
35%
27%
38%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALA
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |