Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
SAB
3 - 1
ATM
28%
31%
42%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
ATM
0 - 0
CEL
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
ATM
4 - 1
BET
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATM
38%
29%
33%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
ATH
3 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1972 |
UDL
2 - 1
ATH
43%
28%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATH
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 2
RSO
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
MAL
1 - 0
ATH
35%
30%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |