Atlético vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ATM
2 - 0
AUS
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
UDL
1 - 1
ATM
42%
28%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 1
ATM
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
ATM
1 - 1
ATH
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
CCF
0 - 2
ATM
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
2 - 0
ATH
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
ATH
1 - 1
FCB
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1970 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
53%
23%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1970 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATH
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 0
SAB
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |