Atlético dos Arcos vs Vila Fria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético dos Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
AAR
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AAR
2 - 1
PON
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PER
1 - 3
AAR
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 0
CAM
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
AAR
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Fria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VFR
2 - 3
NEV
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 0
VFR
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VFR
1 - 0
CCO
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 2
VFR
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VFR
1 - 2
SCV
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |