Atlético Cruceño vs Atl.Cortegana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cruceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
CRU
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
18%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
CRU
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
CAR
53%
23%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UDA
1 - 3
CRU
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atl.Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
ATL
43%
26%
32%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
7 - 3
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
MAZ
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALJ
0 - 0
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
JUA
44%
24%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |