Play Offs Ascenso a Segunda División RFEF . Semi-finals

Atl. Astorga vs Mirandés B analysis

Atl. Astorga Mirandés B
32 ELO 33
2.6% Tilt -22.4%
6505º General ELO ranking 8843º
226º Country ELO ranking 382º
ELO win probability
50.3%
Atl. Astorga
23.3%
Draw
26.4%
Mirandés B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
Atl. Astorga
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.4%
Win probability
Mirandés B
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Atl. Astorga
Mirandés B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Astorga
Atl. Astorga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
NUM
Numancia B
2 - 0
Atl. Astorga
AST
35%
27%
38%
35 29 6 0
01 May. 2021
AST
Atl. Astorga
2 - 2
Gimnástica Segoviana
SEG
33%
26%
42%
35 43 8 0
23 Apr. 2021
BUR
Burgos CF B
1 - 1
Atl. Astorga
AST
39%
27%
34%
35 32 3 0
17 Apr. 2021
AST
Atl. Astorga
4 - 0
Numancia B
NUM
52%
23%
25%
33 32 1 +2
11 Apr. 2021
SEG
Gimnástica Segoviana
0 - 1
Atl. Astorga
AST
69%
19%
12%
32 43 11 +1

Matches

Mirandés B
Mirandés B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2021
ACF
Arandina
2 - 3
Mirandés B
MIR
48%
24%
28%
31 33 2 0
16 May. 2021
MIR
Mirandés B
1 - 0
Atl. Bembibre
CAB
73%
19%
8%
31 16 15 0
08 May. 2021
LVC
La Virgen del Camino
3 - 4
Mirandés B
MIR
28%
25%
47%
30 22 8 +1
24 Apr. 2021
MIR
Mirandés B
3 - 1
Atlético Tordesillas
TOR
51%
25%
24%
30 24 6 0
18 Apr. 2021
CAB
Atl. Bembibre
1 - 2
Mirandés B
MIR
17%
22%
61%
29 17 12 +1
X