Athletic vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BET
2 - 2
ATH
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 1
RMA
9%
16%
75%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
VAD
1 - 3
ATH
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 2
HUE
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 1
LEG
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
VCF
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
GLA
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LEG
0 - 1
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
GIR
63%
22%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SEV
0 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |