Copa del Rey . Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Athletic vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 1
ESP
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
RMA
14%
21%
65%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 1
ATH
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
ATH
3 - 2
FCB
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
13%
19%
69%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VCF
0 - 0
RSO
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
VCF
2 - 1
CAD
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 2
VCF
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
VCF
1 - 1
SEV
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ATB
0 - 1
VCF
13%
21%
66%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |