Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
UDL
1 - 1
ATH
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
MAL
2 - 0
ATH
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
ATH
1 - 0
SEV
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
ELC
0 - 0
ATH
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ATH
2 - 0
ZAR
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
RMA
5 - 1
KIL
86%
9%
5%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
RMA
1 - 0
MAL
86%
10%
4%
|
92 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
19%
25%
56%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
KIL
2 - 2
RMA
27%
25%
48%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
RMA
2 - 1
ELC
83%
12%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |